Photo: The New York Times
A person going about their business is going to run into a crowd eventually. Especially, if that same person, lives in a densely populated city such as New York City or Los Angeles. With the economy in shambles, economists and politicians are worried about the future fate of the world economy. How does the United States open back up? How is normal business conducted without drawing a crowd? What new precautions/actions will be mandatory to go about the same business pre-COVID-19 times? These are open questions waiting for answers.
In the meantime, a brief exploration of the issues at heart is warranted. Education is the best way to tackle ignorance about a given topic. If each of us educates ourselves (and others) on the risk factors associated with opening up the U.S. economy again, then the total number of casualties can be reduced looking into the future.
To educate us on the potential issues with the spread of COVID-19 while carrying out daily business, MSNBC's Lawrence O'Donnell has interviewed scientists and uncovered interesting issues outlined below in the 13-minute video -- worth watching.
Easy right? The time is right to address the failures of models presented by the Centers for Disease Prevention and Control (CDC) and other government organizations. Scientific models vary considerably depending on the granularity (accuracy) which are dependent on inputs (i.e., parameters). The models are approximate only.
One large parameter that is difficult to quantify is person-to-person contact. As the number of contacts is considered, the computational model is weighed down in difficulty. The reason mainly is due to the ability to trace a person's action relative to other people's locations. These complex interactions are difficult to parameterize. That is one major reason why the models vary largely with respect to predictions.
Additionally, the interaction can be minimized if people practice social distancing in the correct manner. Also, wearing masks in close contact situations (markets, stores, restaurants, etc.) is critical to minimizing these complex parameters (which are difficult to quantify).
As the states start to open up, scientists use data from testing along with the movement to get a better handle on the complex parameters (i.e., individual or group interactions). Other major parameters are addressed in blogs listed at the bottom of the web page below. Temperature readings, limits on the number of occupants in buildings, masks, social distancing are just a few obvious changes to society to look forward to in the near future.
Stay tuned for further information and suggestions on best practices or dangers associated with the current COVID-19 crisis.
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One large parameter that is difficult to quantify is person-to-person contact. As the number of contacts is considered, the computational model is weighed down in difficulty. The reason mainly is due to the ability to trace a person's action relative to other people's locations. These complex interactions are difficult to parameterize. That is one major reason why the models vary largely with respect to predictions.
Additionally, the interaction can be minimized if people practice social distancing in the correct manner. Also, wearing masks in close contact situations (markets, stores, restaurants, etc.) is critical to minimizing these complex parameters (which are difficult to quantify).
As the states start to open up, scientists use data from testing along with the movement to get a better handle on the complex parameters (i.e., individual or group interactions). Other major parameters are addressed in blogs listed at the bottom of the web page below. Temperature readings, limits on the number of occupants in buildings, masks, social distancing are just a few obvious changes to society to look forward to in the near future.
Stay tuned for further information and suggestions on best practices or dangers associated with the current COVID-19 crisis.
Related Blog Posts:
Ralph Nader: We Honor What We Value – Entertainers Over Saviors
Trump Administration Cuts Coronavirus Research Funding for Wuhan China Research Institute?
Ralph Nader: Calls Out Congress on a Poor Job Helping Americans During Coronavirus Pandemic
Ralph Nader: The Week We Should Not Forget for Our Own Sake
Societies New Normal Post Coronavirus Pandemic
SNAP Recipients Need Online Access Now -- Start Working On It Congress and USDA!!
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