Showing posts with label Hurricane Florence. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hurricane Florence. Show all posts

Sunday, September 23, 2018

South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster asks lawmakers for $1,228,000,000 For Recovery from Hurricane Florence?


Source: Fox News



There is no dispute that the damage done by Hurricane Florence has been tremendous and will not be repaired anytime soon.  In fact, years from now, we will check in and see that there remains irreparable damage (mental health, loss of life, loss of health, loss of housing, loss of security, etc.).   Last week, I wrote a blog post regarding a forecaster's model predicting that Hurricane Florence would drop enough rain to fill 18,400 Superdome stadiums.  The total destruction stands to be enormous to say the least.  With that being said, what would a letter look like from a Governor asking elected officials from Washington D.C. asking for funds to start the process of recovery?



One of the many underlying themes on this blog site is to provide letters or statements on various topics which relate to environmental health or public safety/health and society in general.  First up is the letter written by Governor Henry McMaster to elected officials representing the state of South Carolina asking for money.  Following the letter below is another letter justifying the amount of expense that is being requested.  Without further ado, here is the letter from Governor Henry McMaster shown below:



The Honorable Lindsey Graham    The Honorable Tim Scott
The Honorable Mark Sanford         The Honorable Joe Wilson
The Honorable Jeff Duncan            The Honorable Trey Gowdy
The Honorable Ralph Norman        The Honorable James E. Clyburn
The Honorable Tom Rice

To the Members of the South Carolina Congressional Delegation:
As you know, for two and a half days Hurricane Florence slowly crept across North and South Carolina - battering our coast with hurricane force winds, storm surge, and massive amounts of rainfall. Deadly localized flash flooding washed out roads and bridges, submerged homes, and left residents stranded from Chesterfield all the way to Horry County.
The rainfall and flooding in North Carolina is sending unheard of amounts of water into South Carolina along the Lynches, Great Pee Dee, Little Pee Dee and Waccamaw rivers. The damage in the northeastern part of our state will be catastrophic, surpassing anything recorded in modern history.
I have asked President Trump to authorize federal disaster recovery funds in Public Assistance Categories A, B, C, D, E, F & G - as well Individual Assistance for 23 South Carolina counties through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”). They are: Berkeley, Calhoun, Charleston, Chester, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Darlington, Dillon, Dorchester, Fairfield, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Kershaw, Lancaster, Lee, Marion, Marlboro, Orangeburg, Richland, Sumter, Williamsburg, and York counties.
Public Assistance in these categories can include funding to support repairs for public assets, such as roads and bridges; water control facilities; building and equipment replacement; restoration and repairs to utilities; and public parks and beaches. Individual Assistance can be granted to persons for temporary housing, home repairs for individuals, dollars towards home replacement, and some other necessary needs.
The South Carolina Emergency Management Division (SCEMD) along with the state Disaster Recovery Office (SCDRO), have provided preliminary financial impact and federal recovery fund estimates for Hurricane Florence in anticipation of actual on the ground damage assessments. These estimates are based primarily on information from Hurricane Matthew and incorporating various other planning factors and estimates. I have attached these estimates for your review.
Hurricane Florence - $1,228,000,000
Community Development Block Grant – Disaster Recovery ($540 million) - Disaster Relief Fund ($300 million) - Federal Highway Administration ($18 million) - Agriculture ($125 million) - Small Business Administration ($80 million) - National Flood Insurance Program ($165 million)
On behalf of all South Carolinians that were affected by Hurricane Florence, I ask that you support the federal disaster recovery requests made by the state, our counties and municipalities.
Thank you for considering this very important request. Should you have any questions or concerns, or if I can be of any further assistance, please do not hesitate to call.
Yours very truly,
Henry McMaster





The numbers cited in the letter above by Governor Henry McMaster might seem large and cause the reader question as to the merit of the need.  At the same time, when the entire state is taken into account along with the wide diversity of economically disadvantaged groups, then the request for an appropriate amount seems reasonable.  Not to mention, the fact that South Carolina has been hit recently (in the past few years) by other large Hurricanes which have caused their own respective damage too.  Some of which still resides and is discussed in the disaster budget analysis letter.  Below is a letter from the Agency which Governor McMaster asked to draw up the need (money values) for recovery from Hurricane Florence on South Carolina:



September 19, 2018
The Honorable Henry McMaster
State House
1100 Gervais Street
Columbia, South Carolina 29201

Dear Governor McMaster,

Subject: Estimate for Community Development Blog Grant -- Disaster Recovery (CDBG-DR) grant funds associated with Hurricane Florence.

This analysis is based upon the 19 September 2018 SCEMD Hurricane Florence Disaster Intelligence ASCOPE and upon the proposition/planning assumption that the state suffered substantial damage from Hurricane Florence, and that multiple rivers throughout the State have already, or will obtain Moderate, Major, and Record flood stages causing damage to both homes and infrastructure.  This assumes that flooding will impact the entire watershed and numerous tributaries throughout the watershed.  Finally it assumes up to 23 counties in South Carolina will be Presidentially Declared Disasters for both FEMA Public Assistance and Individual Assistance.  Critical to CBDG-DR estimates is the Individual Assistance declaration.
Based upon the Disaster Intelligence summary, the following South Carolina Counties have already, or will experience, Hurricane Florence damage from either the Hurricane itself or subsequent flooding and could potentially be declared: Horry, Dillion, Marion, Marlboro, Darlington, Chesterfield, Lancaster, York, Kershaw, Lee, Sumter, Florence, Clarendon, Williamsburg, Georgetown, Union, Fairfield, Newberry, Orangeburg, and Berkeley.  Many of the above have one or more of the following rivers flowing through their counties: Waccamaw, Lumber, Rocky River, Little Pee Dee, Lynches, Black Creek, Black River, Great Pee Dee, Catawba, Wateree, and Santee.  Each of these rivers have multiple tributaries and streams associated with the river.
Three interrelated factors make up this analysis and form the basis for this estimate.  First, Social Vulnerability Indexing which generally shows communities that have high portions of the population which do not have the means to recover themselves and are vulnerable to disaster impacts.  Second, counties which have been previously declared by either Severe Storm 2015 or Hurricane Matthew 2016, or both, and are continuing to recover from those previous disasters.  Repeated disaster events have significant and lasting impacts upon populations, communities, and counties.  Finally, the number of major rivers and tributaries, which traverse these counties, which either have, or are predicted to be in Moderate, Major, or Record flood stage.
Given these planning assumptions and above analysis, the best estimate for future CDBG-DR funds is $540 Million Dollars.  Based upon early reporting, we believe the counties in the northeastern corridor will have substantial damage.  This estimate is a snapshot in time and based upon the best available information.  This estimate could increase or decrease.  It is noteworthy that South Carolina has experienced 4 natural disasters within the last 4 years.  Severe Storm in 2015 (Hurricane Joaquin), Hurricane Matthew 2016, mobilization but no Individual Assistance declaration for Hurricane Irma in 2017, and now Hurricane Florence in 2018.  These natural disasters have produced a drastic impact upon numerous communities throughout rural South Carolina.
CDBG-DR grants are the Disaster funding of last resort, and can be used in broad categories for housing, infrastructure, and economic development, which meet the HUD National objectives associated with elimination of blight and slum, urgent need, and benefit for low to moderate income citizens.  Many Low to Moderate income citizens have been impacted by this disaster.  The State of South Carolina, as well as local jurisdictions within the State have received CDBG-DR funding in the past specifying in response to Severe Store (Hurricane Joaquin) 2015 and Hurricane Matthew in 2016.  South Carolina has an exceptional track record with the wise use of these funds.
Regards, 
Jeffrey R. Sanderson
Program Management Director
South Carolina Disaster Recovery Office 
Department of Commerce


The analysis above really drives home the stark reality that not every community is treated or funded equally in the State of South Carolina.  What solution can solve the disparity is beyond the reach of the present blog post.  What is within reach of the present blog post is the transparency provided by the letter from Governor Henry McMaster and the budget analysis letter -- both of which are shown above.  At the same time, the letters provide the reality that there are parts of the State which might not ever recover.  Which means the communities are continuously in a "State of Repair" from one Hurricane to the next -- which is wrong.



Money should be diverted through a block grant and extra funding by FEMA along with more money from Congress.  Now is not the time to perpetuate the persistent state of leaving residents behind.  As has been done in the past and indicated in the letter above.  Americans should be banding together to help the Eastern part of Our Country repair and return to a state of normalcy.  But first, a total assessment needs to be done along with the final passing of Hurricane Florence.  Stay tuned and stay safe.



Related Blog Posts:


Boston Natural Gas Explosion Reveals Old Piping Needs Replacement - Enough To Travel To Colorado?


A Forecaster Predicts That Hurricane Florence Will Drop Enough Rain To Fill 18,400 Mercedes-Benz Superdomes

Hurricane Harvey Drops Enough Rain On Houston To Fill 560 Dallas Cowboy Stadiums


How Much Water Is Contained In All Oceans Around The Globe?


Storm Raises Water Level In Lake Cachuma By 31 feet, How Much Water Is That?


How To Make Sense Of Water Flowing At 100,000 Cubic Feet Per Second


Can 11 Trillion Gallons Of Water Fill 14,000 Dallas Cowboys Stadiums?


How Much Rain Did The East Coast Receive From Hurricane Matthew?


How Much Rain Did Haiti Really Receive?


How Much Rainfall Has Dropped On Louisiana?


How Big Was The "Water Bomb" Of Rainfall In Macedonia?


How Much Rain Did Huauchinango (Mexico) receive?


How Much Rain Did Elliot City (Maryland) Really Receive?


If The Mosul Dam Breaks, The City Of Mosul Would Be Under 65 Feet Of Water?


What is the volume of water in a few inches of rain?


Volume of Waste in the Mine Spill (in Brazil) Equivalent to 78 Deepwater Horizon Oil Spills

Monday, September 17, 2018

Typhoon Mangkhut Drops Enough Rain On Philippines To Fill 25,000 Superdomes per hour?


Source: Time



As Americans were watching Hurricane Florence ravage the East Coast of the United States over the weekend, residents of the Philippine Islands were experiencing an equivalent destruction of their country from Typhoon Mangkhut.  According to the New York Times article titled "See Inside Typhoon Mangkhut in 3-D" at the height of maximum rainfall over the Philippines, the rate of rainfall reached 11.7 inches as shown in the excerpt below:



Rain tends to be heaviest near the center of a storm, in what is known as the eyewall, visible here in red. The highest rainfall rate for Typhoon Mangkhut reached 11.7 inches per hour inside the southern wall on Friday.


With this astounding rate of rainfall in mind, regular readers of this site will naturally ask themselves the following question:



How many Superdomes were filled per hour by Typhoon Mangkhut?



In the paragraphs below, the amount of Superdomes are calculated using dimensional analysis.  The result as indicated (potentially 25,000 Superdomes per hour) is astonishing.  Following the analysis is a video confirming the astounding number which should blow your mind.



How Many Superdomes Per Hour?




Basically, for the current blog post, the same methodology which was used to calculate the number of Superdomes which could be filled with the predicted rainfall due to Hurricane Florence - which I posted last Friday.  The Mercedes-Benz Superdome is located in Louisianna and has an interior volume of 125,000,000 cubic feet.  Shown below is a picture of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome:



Source: The Advocate



Superdomes can be a 'metric' which are commonly used to cast large (enormous) values of volumes or statistics popularly reported in the news.  The maximum rate of rainfall reported in the New York Times article above is a perfect candidate along with the landmass of the Philippine Islands -- which makes a volume -- to be used in an analysis with the metric above used.  The volume of rainfall can be expressed as an equation as shown below:






The volume for a geographic area is the land mass area multiplied by the amount of rainfall over the given land mass area.  If we consult Google with the following question: Rainfall?  The definition of the term 'rainfall' is shown below:







The definition of rainfall is 'the quantity of rainfall falling.'  To begin the analysis (with actual numbers) the land mass (total area) of the Philippine Islands needs to be determine.  As usual, Google is consulted with the following question: Philippine Area?   The answer is shown below:







Notice that the area (land mass) is expressed in units of measurement of 'square mile'.  When the maximum rainfall is reported in units of 'inches', a decision to convert one number to the other needs to be made.  For this analysis, 'inches' will be the unit of measurement for analysis -- at least the beginning of the analysis.  In order to convert the land mass area of Philippine Islands from units of 'inch' to 'mile' the following question needs to be asked in a search engine like Google: How many square inches in a square mile?  The answer is shown below:






For every single square mile, there are 4.014 billion square inches.  The conversion of units from 'square miles' to 'square inches' is shown below:






The answer above shows that Philippines is around 116 thousand square miles which when converted to square inches turns out to be 460 trillion square inches.  Now that the land mass area is converted to units of square inches, the volume of rain which fell at a maximum on Friday due to Typhoon Mangkhut can be calculated using the expression for volume from above:







Wait?  The above equation is 'rate of rainfall' -- whereas I stated that the volume was being computed above?  Why the difference?  As I stated above, the amount of rain falling over and hour was reported to be 11.7 inches/hour.  Which is a rate.  Therefore, the volume is actually the rate of volume of rainfall over a given time as shown below:





With 11.7 inches/hour of rainfall pouring down due to Typhoon Mangkhut, the total amount (volume) of rain would be 5,400 trillion cubic inches per hour of rain.  Wow!  Based on the calculations in the previous blog post regarding the total amount of rain predicted (by a forecaster) due to Hurricane Florence, lets cast the rate of rainfall into comprehensible units.  To do so, a unit conversion needs to be accomplished from units of 'cubic inches' to 'gallons'.  A conversion factor needs to be determined.



If the following question is typed into Google: How many cubic inches are in a gallon?  The answer is shown below:







With the conversion factor known, the conversion is carried out by using the same methodology as above:







Therefore, the amount of rainfall over the Philippine Islands at maximum rainfall is shown below:





Wow!  23 trillion gallons in a single hour.  In my previous blog post about the predicted amount of rainfall over four states (in a few days) was expected to be 17 trillion.  The difference shows that Typhoon Mangkhut is larger than Hurricane Florence.  This is not to say that Hurricane Florence is not inflicting a large amount of damage in the United States over the weekend.  The East Coast is in terrible shape and we are keeping the residents there in our thoughts.  Be safe.



The metric which has been used to visualize large volumes of rain is the Mercedes-Benz Superdome as shown above.  With a volume of 125,000,000 cubic feet, the Superdome is a perfect metric to which compare the large volume of rain falling over a given region in a storm.  To calculate the number of Superdomes which could be filled with 23 trillion gallons/hour, first a unit conversion needs to be accomplished.  In order to compare the 23 trillion gallons/hour to 125,000,000 cubic feet, a unit conversion from 'gallon/hour' to 'cubic feet/hour' needs to be accomplished.



To determine the number of 'cubic inches' are in a 'cubic feet', we type into Google the following question: How many cubic inches are in a cubic foot?  The answer is shown below:






The conversion of units between 'cubic inch' and 'cubic feet' is shown below:





Next, to determine the number of Superdomes which could be filled with the amount of rain falling over an hour over the Philippine Islands is shown below:




Wow!  The total amount of Superdomes which would be filled at the rate of rainfall equal to 3.1 trillion cubic feet per hour is a whopping 25,000 Superdomes per hour.



The final question is the following:



Does the amount of rainfall -- 3.1 trillion cubic feet per hour over the Philippine Islands make sense?



To answer the question above, lets view the video from YouTube below taken over the weekend during the storm - Typhoon Mangkhut:





Wow!   I am left speechless by the video above.



Conclusion...




Oh my goodness?  The amount of rain is enormous and unparalleled.  Between the total number of storms hitting the globe over the weekend, the amount of rainfall is historic and unparalleled in volume.  The rainfall must be surging into the hundreds of trillions of gallons of water falling on land masses like Philippine Islands and the East Coast of the United States of America.  Destruction is inevitable.  Just think of the amount of time and effort which will be required to restore basic resources like power and water?  The destruction is huge and should not be understated.  Keep the residents experiencing these terrible storms in our thoughts and prayers.



Related Blog Posts:


A Forecaster Predicts That Hurricane Florence Will Drop Enough Rain To Fill 18,400 Mercedes-Benz Superdomes

Hurricane Harvey Drops Enough Rain On Houston To Fill 560 Dallas Cowboy Stadiums


How Much Water Is Contained In All Oceans Around The Globe?


Storm Raises Water Level In Lake Cachuma By 31 feet, How Much Water Is That?


How To Make Sense Of Water Flowing At 100,000 Cubic Feet Per Second


Can 11 Trillion Gallons Of Water Fill 14,000 Dallas Cowboys Stadiums?


How Much Rain Did The East Coast Receive From Hurricane Matthew?


How Much Rain Did Haiti Really Receive?


How Much Rainfall Has Dropped On Louisiana?


How Big Was The "Water Bomb" Of Rainfall In Macedonia?


How Much Rain Did Huauchinango (Mexico) receive?


How Much Rain Did Elliot City (Maryland) Really Receive?


If The Mosul Dam Breaks, The City Of Mosul Would Be Under 65 Feet Of Water?


What is the volume of water in a few inches of rain?


Volume of Waste in the Mine Spill (in Brazil) Equivalent to 78 Deepwater Horizon Oil Spills


















Friday, September 14, 2018

A Forecaster Predicts That Hurricane Florence Will Drop Enough Rain To Fill 18,400 Mercedes-Benz Superdomes


Source: Axios



Hurricane Florence has arrived on the East Coast of the United States with a force which seems unparalleled compared to previous storms.  The category has changed with time, though, without dispute, hurricane Florence is present and causing damage which will take years to recover from.  To comprehend the predictions from weather forecasters, dimensional analysis is necessary to cast the enormous predictions into light.  How much rain is going to fall on the East Coast from hurricane Florence?  Here is an excerpt from a weather forecaster interviewed by 'Mashable' in an article titled "Hurricane Florence is forecast to dump a historic amount of rain. Here's how much" which states the huge amount of potential rain to be dropped:



Meteorologist Ryan Maue of WeatherModels tweeted some projections on Thursday morning. 
Maue's models suggest that around 17 trillion gallons of rain will fall across North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and Georgia with some spots receiving as much as 30 inches of rain before Florence is finished. 


According to the excerpt shown above, 17 trillion gallons is predicted to fall on North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and Georgia over the next few days.  This will cause terrible damage to the infrastructure in cities lining the coast and displace many thousands of residents from services (which are much needed) such as electricity, emergency services, and make returning to work nearly impossible.  In order to understand the terrible destruction of the storm, the amount of rain (17 trillion) should be placed into context.  In the paragraphs below, dimensional analysis is used to compare the amount of rain to the number of Mercedes-Benz Superdomes which could be filled with 17 trillion gallons.




How Much Space Occupies The Mercedes-Benz Superdome?




The metric which has been chosen to compare the enormous amount of rain that is expected to fall over the 4 states mentioned above on the East Coast over the next few days is the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.  The Superdome is located in Louisianna and has an interior space (volume) equal to 125,000,000 cubic feet of space.  Yes, I said 125,000,000 cubic feet of space as shown below:





Which fills the Superdome shown below:





Source: The Advocate



That is an large space indeed.  Football games are played in the Superdome and at max capacity will hold a total of 73,000 people.  Although, during a super bowl, the capacity has expanded beyond capacity to hold upwards of 79,000 people.  Needless to say, when an HUGE volume is reported of liquid such as the amount of rain which will fall over the next few days, a perfect metric to compare is that of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.



According to the excerpt taken from the news, the amount of rain expected to fall is 17 trillion gallons.  First, lets look at the amount of zero's after 17 -- trillion.  If 'Wikipedia' is consulted for the page defining 'trillion', the following definition is shown below:



Trillion (short scale) (1,000,000,000,000; one million million; 1012; SI prefix: tera-), the current meaning in both American and British English.



Therefore, if the number 17 trillion is written out in entirety, the number would appear as follows:







The first line above shows 17 trillion in long form.  For the purpose of shortening up a number to move around in calculations used in dimensional analysis, the value 17 trillion could be expressed in 'Scientific Notation' as shown in the second line above.  Which makes writing and expressing the number much easier.  Compared to writing out all of the unnecessary zero's involved.



Notice that the unit of measurement in which the amount of rain projected to fall are expressed in units of 'gallons'.   Remember that the interior space of the Superdome is expressed in units of 'cubic feet'.  Therefore, if the two numbers are going to be used in the same analysis (the purpose of the blog post), then a 'unit' conversion is necessary.  For this blog post, I will arbitrarily use the units of 'cubic feet' as a comparison.  We just as well could have converted over the units of 'cubic feet' to 'gallon's in order to compare the two values of interest (i.e. volume of Superdome and volume of rain).



In order to convert the units of measurement from 'gallon' to 'cubic feet', a conversion factor is needed.  To simplify the search for a conversion factor, consult Google with the following question: How many cubic feet are in a gallon?  The answer is shown below:







For every gallon, there are 0.133681 cubic feet.  Written as a conversion factor, the unit conversion from gallon to cubic feet is shown below:






The answer to the conversion shows that 17 trillion gallons is equivalent to 2.3 trillion cubic feet.  Which means that 17 trillion gallons of water is equivalent to 2.3 trillion cubic feet of water.  Same volume, different units of measurement. Now that both values are in the same units of measurement -- 'cubic feet' -- a simple division of two values (total volume of rain divided by total volume of a single Superdome) yields the total number of Mercedes-Benz Superdomes which would be filled with 17 trillion gallons of rain:





The answer indicates that if 17 trillion gallons were poured into 18,400 Superdomes, there would be no water remaining.  Wow.  With this enormous amount of Superdomes as a result, there should be no wonder why residents should be concerned about their health and safety.  That enormous amount of rain will inevitably wreak havoc on the four states listed above.



Conclusion...




In the blog post above, the number of Mercedes-Benz Superdomes were calculated which would be needed to hold a total volume of rain of 17 trillion gallons.  At this moment, you may be wondering how 17 trillion gallons compares to the amount of rain that Hurricane Harvey dropped on Houston (Texas).  Hurricane Harvey dropped 58.3 billion cubic feet of rain.  That is enough to fill 560 Dallas Cowboy Stadiums.  Note that the total amount of rain is distributed across very different amounts of land masses.  Different amounts of rain across different proportions of land.  Still, these hurricanes are dropping enormous amounts of water (in the form of rain) which is wreaking havoc on the surrounding land.



Hopefully, the blog post above along with other dimensional analysis blogs on this site shed light on the severity of storms hitting the world over the past two years.  In the index of blogs below, other storms have been analyzed in a similar fashion.  Regardless of the size of the storm, any loss of life is tragic and unacceptable.  Please keep the residents of hurricane Florence in your thoughts over the next few days (and months).  If you are in the path of hurricane Florence, stay safe please.



Related Blog Posts:


Hurricane Harvey Drops Enough Rain On Houston To Fill 560 Dallas Cowboy Stadiums


How Much Water Is Contained In All Oceans Around The Globe?


Storm Raises Water Level In Lake Cachuma By 31 feet, How Much Water Is That?


How To Make Sense Of Water Flowing At 100,000 Cubic Feet Per Second


Can 11 Trillion Gallons Of Water Fill 14,000 Dallas Cowboys Stadiums?


How Much Rain Did The East Coast Receive From Hurricane Matthew?


How Much Rain Did Haiti Really Receive?


How Much Rainfall Has Dropped On Louisiana?


How Big Was The "Water Bomb" Of Rainfall In Macedonia?


How Much Rain Did Huauchinango (Mexico) receive?


How Much Rain Did Elliot City (Maryland) Really Receive?


If The Mosul Dam Breaks, The City Of Mosul Would Be Under 65 Feet Of Water?


What is the volume of water in a few inches of rain?


Volume of Waste in the Mine Spill (in Brazil) Equivalent to 78 Deepwater Horizon Oil Spills