Showing posts with label farm. Show all posts
Showing posts with label farm. Show all posts

Monday, February 4, 2019

Parameters: How Much Water Is Required To Grow A Package Of Almonds?



Source: Nuts.com



For the last few weeks, each day when I open the daily newsletter from 'Politico Agriculture' the content will inevitably include the following advertisement/statement shown below:



** A message from the Almond Board of California: Almonds grow in a shell, protected by a hull, on trees: products traditionally used for livestock bedding, dairy feed and electricity generation. While current uses ensure nothing goes to waste, we're exploring new applications with greater economic and environmental value. Learn more at Almonds.com/ZeroWaste. **



The first time that I ran across this message, I could not help but think about reporting done by Los Angeles Times a few years ago regarding the 'High Speed Bullet Train' project which would run from Northern California to Southern California -- straight through the central valley -- farm country in California.  In that reporting, were accounts of land being taken by eminent domain.  Specifically, the reports stated that crops which were 'water intensive' were mostly being impacted.  Why discriminate among crops when robbing a land owner of their land?  I have no idea.



What was cemented in my mind was the fact that almonds were one of the 'water intensive' crops reported on.  After viewing this message/advertisement for the last month (at least), I decided to look further into the amount of water required to grow almonds. Let me walk you through my analysis.



How Much Water Is Required To Grow Almonds?




To start our search, we will just simply follow our usual methodology used in previous analyses.  The first question to type into a search engine blank is: How much water is required to grow almonds?  The answer is shown below:







To grow a single almond requires 1.1 gallons of water.  Wow!  That seems like a lot of water for a single nut.  Almonds along with other nuts do have nutritional value (as indicated in the podcast which is shown in the image above).  Does that potential value outweigh the water cost in California, a state with serious water conservation issues?  That might be a topic for another blog post.  For now, we want to determine the amount of water required to make different amounts of almonds commonly sold (commonly encountered) in the store for purchase.  The results of our dimensional analysis are shown below and surprising to say the least.



As indicated in the image above, the amount of water required to make a single almond is 1.1 gallons of water as shown below:






To state the above equality in terms of a conversion factor, the water cost of growing almonds is shown below:






The conversion factor shown above allows one to determine easily the amount of water required to grow almonds.  Although, the conversion factor is stated for a single almond.  Almonds are commonly sold in a package of more than a single almond.  A search revealed an example of a small package of almonds (3 oz) commonly sold in 7-Eleven convenience stores around the nation and shown below:




Source: Amazon



As you can see in the image above, there are two packages of almonds laid out on a wooden table.  Each of these packages holds 3 ounces of almonds.  In order to make sense of the amount of water required to grow the almonds contained in a 3 ounce package, the number of almonds per ounce needs to be known.  Again, if Google is consulted with the following question: How many almonds in a oz?  The answer is shown below:







The last sentence in the paragraph above states that there are 23 almonds in a single ounce.  That is the missing conversion factor which is needed to determine the amount of water required to grow a certain amount of almonds.  To start, take the 3 ounce bag of almonds shown above.



To determine the amount of water required to grow the almonds contained in a 3 ounce bag sold at a store, the total amount - 3 ounces is multiplied by both conversion factors as shown below:






My goodness.  To grow 3 ounces of almonds requires nearly 76 gallons of water.  Wow!  Now that bag is small compared to what can be purchased on sites like Amazon as shown below:





Source: Amazon



The bag of almonds -- large bag -- is 3 pounds produced by a company called Kirkland.  To determine the amount of water required to produce 3 pounds of almonds, the conversion of ounces into pounds needs to be known.  Another conversion factor needs to be determined.  Again consulting Google with the following question: How many ounces in a pound?  The answer is shown below:






The last conversion factor is shown above needed to determine using units of pounds.  That is, to determine the amount of water needed to grow 3 pounds of almonds, the total amount of almonds (3 pounds) is multiplied by all three conversion factors as shown below:






The results of the calculation indicates that the total amount of water needed to grow 3 pounds of almonds is equal to approximately 1,214 gallons of water.  But wait.  In the image above regarding my initial search, there is an additional statement that stated that to grow a pound of almonds requires 1,900 gallons of water.  If the link is clicked through to the podcast transcript, you will notice that the reference cited is not listed anywhere on the page.


Where does that leave us?  Is the total amount of water required to grow a single almond 1.1 gallons?  Does the amount of water required change with volume?  To be fair, the podcast transcript from states that there is a large amount of debate as to the total amount of water required to grow nuts in California.



Still, the amount determined in the calculations should be concerning to say the least.  Why?  As I stated in a previous blog on water use in Los Angeles, the average person in Los Angeles uses around 107 gallons of water a day.  That is equivalent to growing roughly a 4 ounce bag of almonds.



The next time you step into a grocery store or liquor store and see a package of almonds sitting for purchase, take a look at the amount sold and determine the amount of water required to grow the almonds in that package.  If you get shopping anxiety like I do, this simple exercise will keep your mind occupied while shopping.  Further, now you have been liberated to fill the uncomfortable silence at a dinner party or lunch with family with a fun filled facts.



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Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Soybean Farmers Are Storing Too Much Soybean, Although Chemical Industry Is Greenlighting Trade Deals?


Source: Post Bulletin




Depending on your exporting destination or importing origin along with the industry type, the response to the Trump Administration's tariffs program and emerging trade war is different.  For the chemical industry which heavily relies on good relations with local (North and South) neighboring countries, life is acceptable - as reported recently in the chemical news.  At the same time, if you are a soybean farmer or a farmer who relies on storing product in elevators for an extended period of time, trouble is approaching quickly due to trade coming to a 'stand still'.   The two different scenarios are listed below - briefly.



Soybean Storage?




Early on after trade tariffs were set to take effect, I wrote a blog post discussing (briefly) the benefits of global free trade.  In which, I highlighted the obvious fact that all commodities are connected to each other in some manner. Recently, the news site 'Politico Agriculture' has shed light on the connectivity which the trade industry relies on:



HIDDEN TRADE WAR IMPACT: CROP STORAGE SHORTAGE: Retaliatory tariffs have weighed down commodity prices for months. With the harvest well underway, the trade dispute with China is dealing another blow to U.S. soybean producers: a shortage of space in grain elevators that's causing major backups in states like North Dakota, Minnesota and Louisiana — and driving down prices even more.
China, the biggest market for U.S. soybeans, slapped 25 percent duties on the crop in retaliation for President Donald Trump's tariffs on Chinese high-tech products. Now it's effectively closed for business to American soy growers. Some farmers are gathering more soybeans than they can sell or store, jam-packed silos are running out of room, and the trains that usually carry soybeans to the Pacific Northwest for shipping to China aren't moving.
"In Southwest Minnesota and the Dakotas, you now have elevators that are storing all their beans because there's no market to the West. There is absolutely no bid," said Bill Gordon, a farmer in Worthington, Minn., and member of the American Soybean Association board of directors.
Gordon said some storage sites are piling corn outside to make room for soybeans, and that his local grain elevator is expected to be full after just one week of the month-long harvest.
Cash prices falling: The demand for storage space is also widening the gap between the market commodity price for soybeans and the cash price farmers receive for their crops at the elevator. Grant Kimberley, director of market development for the Iowa Soybean Association, said the drop-off — or "basis" — is normally 30 to 50 cents per bushel in central Iowa. Now it's about $1 per bushel.
Downstream problems: There's also a surge of Midwestern crops being shipped down the Mississippi River to New Orleans, where they're sold to Europe, South America and elsewhere. That's putting extra strain on growers and exporters in Louisiana.
"Everything is choking up right here on the Mississippi River on the barges and the elevators," Abraham said. "Every elevator that we have is full of soybeans right now and can literally take no more on."



Soybeans are taking up space which might be used for other crops which need to be stored too.  The states being affected - North Dakota, Minnesota, and Louisiana - have around 130,000 farms (combined in 3 states).  Not all of those farms serve the soybean industry.  Although, that enormous number of farms could be impacted by the connectivity to other crops which need to use the same storage space used temporarily for soybean crops held up by trade tariffs.



On top of the elevators being filled up are the barges (storage boats) which are filled up with soybeans being transported to other states to be stored.  Shown below is an example of a barge filled with soybean being filled.  Just think of all the transportation, space, and time -- which equates to money burned -- waiting to be moved, stored, or shipped.  All of the jobs which are on hold due to trade tariffs.  Not cool.




Source: Feed Stuffs



Additionally, the mere fact that China can just shut down and refuse any crops from the United States shows how reliant the United States is on other countries.  Which is dangerous to say the least.  Our reliance to other countries for crop sales or technology processing is becoming a major issue which going forward into the future will have be heavily weighed by those in elected office who make the large decisions in Washington D.C.



Although, they are elected positions therefore, your input is imperative in driving their respective vote.  With that being said, keeping up with the status of trade talks and disenfranchised farmers is important in moving forward participating in democracy.  Below, the conversation shifts from grave concern now to the chemical industry.  The chemical industry is quite pleased with the changes - which is strange.



Chemical Industry Is Good!




As I mentioned in the introductory paragraph, the chemical industry is one which has flourished since a deal has been arrived at between Canada, Mexico and the United States.  According to the Chemistry trade journal 'C&E News' titled "U.S. chemical industry reacts positively to revised trade pact with Canada, Mexico" the deal is being cast in a positive light:



The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is an overhaul of the 24-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which underpins $1.2 trillion in total trade between the three countries.
The trilateral accord is critically important to U.S. chemical manufacturers because Canada and Mexico are the industry’s two largest export markets. Approximately 46,000 chemical industry jobs in the U.S. now depend on trade between the North American neighbors.
Although ACC and its member companies are still reviewing the provisions of the updated trade pact, the industry group says the agreement “appears to include several enhancements long sought-after by the U.S. chemical sector,” including greater regulatory cooperation.



That is not to say that other industries reliant on chemicals and pharmaceuticals are not hurting with the trade war emerging with other international countries.  Noted in the article above that 46,000 jobs depend on trade.  That is just one single industry - chemical industry.  Imagine all other industries across the board which contribute to global trade which are being negatively impacted.  The total amount of jobs which are tied to the trade of those industries.  When all is considered, the numbers are enormous and difficult to comprehend.



Conclusion...




Just today in 'Politico Agriculture' was the following news:



TRADE DISPUTES LOOM OVER GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY: Trade protectionism and climate change are among the factors weighing on international food security, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Global Food Security Index, a benchmark used to measure individual countries' level of food security.
The report, released Tuesday by EIU and DowDuPont's Corteva Agriscience, cited China's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. soybeans as an example of trade turmoil that can raise prices for consumers and hit low-income families the hardest.
"Protectionist trade policies can contribute to world food price increases and limit agricultural competitiveness," EIU wrote.
The benchmark has the U.S. tied for third place with the United Kingdom — and down in the rankings for the second year in a row. The result doesn't indicate a worsening situation in the U.S. but, rather, slower progress on food issues than other nations. Singapore ranks No. 1, followed by Ireland in second. The Netherlands rounds out the top five.


In light of the news above, get ready for prices to change due to changing demand both internationally and within our nation.  As highlighted, each of these avenues of export are tied to one another in some manner.   Typically, the thought of total impact never crosses each of our minds.  That needs to change with the changing times.



Instead of thinking in terms of an 'isolationist' country, the United States needs to again open up trade avenues to disseminate the crops which are stored and hindering profit margins of families (farm families) along with all of the other players in the trade game: tractor drivers, truckers, dock workers, mariners - captains of ships, ship manufacturers, shipping companies, traders, diplomats, local store owners, foreign store owners, Chinese supply chain.  All of these players have families to support.   Not to mention the amount of energy needed to move goods across supply routes nationally and internationally. 



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