Monday, November 25, 2019

Farmers are headed toward the 1980s' Farming Crisis





One big statement that has played out during the current administration has been: "President Trump is trying to rewind time and take the nation back to pre 1970."  Which is counterproductive in today's global economy.  Farmer's without a doubt have endured the most significant hardship during the Trade War with China.  With no end in sight, farmer's are headed for terrible times.  Yes, terrible.



According to Politico Agriculture, the present state of affairs for farmers heading into the holidays appears to be dangerous territory:



FARM CREDIT CHIEF SEES SHADOW OF EIGHTIES' AG CRISIS: Farm Credit Administration Chairman Glen Smith told the House Agriculture Committee on Tuesday that the farm lending system is currently "safe and sound" — but officials are "very concerned and closely monitoring some weakening in credit quality." At a subcommittee hearing, Smith also drew parallels between the current downturn and the run-up to the 1980s farm crisis.
"I think we're at a level that's comparable to the early '80s," he said, citing economic trends like falling farm income, rising debt-to-asset ratios and concerns about the value of farmland. "At that time in the Midwest, we'd lost 15-20 percent of our land values. Guess what? Today we've lost 15-20 percent of our land values in the Midwest."
Farmland values remain largely stable across the country. But that could change, Smith warned in his written remarks to the committee, if larger amounts of farmland go up for sale — like if farm bankruptcy rates continue ticking upward.
"With declining land prices, farm balance sheets could deteriorate more quickly, and a farm borrower's ability to restructure debt or obtain additional financing could weaken," Smith said. He also said the FCA is monitoring an increase in producers turning to non-traditional lenders for financing, which often carry higher interest rates and can prove treacherous for farmers that fall behind.
Another similarity to the Eighties? "The late '70s and early '80s were typified by trade wars," Smith added, referring to the U.S. grain embargo against the Soviet Union.



Farmers have had a terrible last couple of years for business.  Exports overseas have been adversely impacted due to the Trade War with China.  President Trump is making little to no progress with a trade agreement between the two powerful nations.  In the meantime, Congress has passed a bill called the FARMERS FIRST bill, which would provide mental health funding for farmers who have been negatively impacted by the Trade Wars.



Despite all of the negative impacts which farmers are feeling during these times, they remain hopeful and call for 'Trade Not Aid.'  Stay tuned!



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